12.07.2003

Applying Occam's Razor to Miracles
Maybe this'll be seen as nitpicking and maybe it is but I'm pretty well sick and tired of people calling coincidental happenings miracles. What do I mean?
I mean the people that thank God for saving them in a car accident when it was dumb luck. I mean people who suffer a bad fall and then thank their lucky stars that God was watching out for them.

Which is a more likely explanation for someone that escapes death? Dumb luck or an omnipotent but invisible and mostly hands off God that presides over all of creation with a benevolence towards one man above another?

Pretty straight forward, luck prevails. God isn't a requirement for someone to escape death or horrid injury. Why would God allow one man or woman to escape death but not another? Where's the omni-benevolence there? Why would God choose sides if he created everything and everyone?

Its the same thing and far more irritating when athletes are interviewed after winning a game or a race or something and they thank God for the skill and will to win. Why would God be choosing sides? Why would God give the first damn whether you win a race or another of his critters does?

The logical answer is that there's no God, one person wins over another because of variables, because of skill, because of training, because of genetics, because of a whole host of other variables that can still allow the underdog to succeed. How does one person walk away from a horrific wreck where his/her passenger is turned into a pile of meat? God decided one was better than the other and so spared him or punished the other? The whole concept just adds far too much of a need for an infrastructure and motivations beyond our perceptions where luck, plain old dumb luck, is a cleaner and far more acceptable explanation.

And, for those of you who are unfamiliar with Occam's Razor, the simplest explanation is more often right than not. Is it more straightforward to put a "miracle" to luck or to this entire belief system that no one has ever been able to verify that's presided over by an omnipotent God that begs more questions than his/her existence answers?

Yeah, I'll go with luck too.

No News is Good News House Update
Well, that's about it for the news, we've not heard anything yet as the owners are weighing the two offers. I am still confident that we will prevail because we're nicer people (though I'm basing that on nothing more than speculation of the other people making the offer).

I'm trying to be as zen about it as I can. We get it, great, we don't get it, there was something horribly, horribly wrong with it and we just dodged a bullet (but no, God wasn't looking out for us).

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